Tuesday, January 22, 2008

Obama in California

Obama must, must, must win California on Super Tuesday. You might be thinking "Thank you, Captain Obvious," but it can't be overstated, in my view. Hillarah is killing him in Florida. And, though it sounds ugly, the constituancy there doesn't bode well for him. Let's be honest: Latinos have proven tough for him to win over, rumors of Obama being associated with Farrakhan still circulate (untrue, of course), and the geriatrics luuuuuuuuuuuuv that Hillrah--particularly the old women.

California happens to have quite a few Latinos as well, and Clinton is beating the pants off of him in polls thus far. So his campaign better make a full-court press. Get as many Latinos in front of him as possible. Court the unions, get him on a surfboard, even roll out the celebrities if you have to, but get; up; California's; ass. What really worries me is that he pretty much has to stay in SC until the 26th, leaving a little over a week to campaign there.

If he surrenders CA and tries to win the Southern and Midwest states, I don't think he can win. Hillarah will likely walk through NY and, if she has won the 1st, 3rd, and 4th largest states in the union...hard--if not impossible--to make it up with the smaller states.
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