Friday, January 25, 2008

McCain and Romney in FL

Polls will tell you it's a dead heat, but polls haven't been spectacularly accurate thus far (though more accurate on the GOP side than the D side). Florida is a winner take all state and the 4th largest in the Union, so it's obviously a huge win, but I don't know how it would necessarily make or break it for Johnny Mac or Sir Plastic--or the other candidates.

A poor showing for Huckabee could be the end for him. I don't see him picking up a lot of votes in the super Tuesday primaries and he is, reportedly, running out of cash. Giuliani could definitely use a FL win, but if he finishes near the top, I can see him sticking it out until super Tuesday to see how he can do in NY and NJ. If Romney wins, I can see him start to look attractive in California and Illinois--maybe NY as well. If McCain wins, super Tuesday would seem to look more like a coronation, I should think but...in the end, I have no idea ;-). I take comfort in the fact that no one else seems to either.
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